Thursday, April 19, 2007

Silver Wheaton is a pure play against falling USD

"Silver Wheaton Corp.'s US$485-million cash purchase of 25% of the life-of-mine silver production from Goldcorp's Penasquito project in Mexico is getting the thumbs-up from analysts."
With new deal SLW has secured supply of Silver at 3.9 USD and it is financed only with debt in USD! If you are a believer in falling USD and rising Silver this is the place where a lot of money will come: company is "pure" silver play - all its revenue is coming from silver sales, it is profitable from the day one. SLW Stock is followed by major investment banks, its market cap can accommodate big institutional investors and hedge funds. Its supply base is diversified between different producers and different countries. Technical picture is pointing to upside break out from its consolidation pattern. Acting like a "Silver bank" company's unique business model allows to secure silver supply "deposits" at lower rate and sell it later at the market rates. Now with this purchase very important step is made and all new silver supply is secured by cash payment without any share dilution. With fixed supply silver prices in the range from 3.9 to 4.0 USD and market price flirting with 14.0 USD, Silver Wheaton becomes leverage play on rising silver prices and its earnings will rise with every uptick in silver prices.
"Merrill Lynch analyst Michael Jalonen, who calls Penasquito a "world class asset" with proven and probable reserves of 9.98 million ounces of gold, 575 million ounces of silver and 3.62 million tonnes of zinc, rates Silver Wheaton a "buy." He has a US$13.50 price target on the stock (SLW/TSX), which represents upside of 3% from yesterday's close of $13.10.

Tony Lesiak at UBS is more optimistic with a US$14.50 price target. "The deal provides significant growth for Silver Wheaton and financial flexibility for Goldcorp," he said in a note to clients.

Blackmont Capital analyst Richard Gray, who said the transaction was highly anticipated, sees Silver Wheaton shares hitting $16, 22% over yesterday's close.

RBC Capital Markets analyst Michael Curran raised his target price by US$1 to US$17.
"We believe Silver Wheaton shares have been held back as investors anticipated a medium- to-large equity financing requirement to fund a Penasquito transaction," he said in a note to clients, adding that this overhang could now vanish."

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

GOOG earnings are out! As per usual, the media is fawning over their "blowout" numbers. What kind of manipulations did they hide in the fine print this time? We're looking to you Sufiy!

Sufiy said...

Have been travelling, safely home will be posting tomorrow